As the first major hurricane to threaten the shores of the United States in more than 10 years, much attention is being paid to the track and potential damage of Hurricane Matthew. Here is some recent analysis using Weather Defender, captured just minutes ago.
Using 1KM-resolution Infrared Satellite imagery courtesy of GOES-East, we can see clearly the center of Hurricane Matthew just west of Haiti and making landfall in Cuba.
By observing the past track of Hurricane Matthew, we can gain a better understanding of its future course and potential impacts. Click on the image for a full-resolution view. The Legend indicates wind speeds, with red > 74 mph, yellow > 58 mph, and blue > 39 mph.
As of Tuesday night, Hurricane Matthew is projected to move along a north-northwesterly track making landfall with the east coast of Florida before it tracks northward into Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, and Virginia over the next several days. Depending on track, New England states may also be impacted by the weekend.
Watches & Warnings
Currently there are numerous Hurricane Watches and Warnings in effect in Cuba, Haiti and nearby Bahamas and Florida coastline. Tropical storm warnings also extend as far away as the Florida keys.
Depicted is the probability of 58-mph winds. This number is considered "severe", as in equivalent to a severe thunderstorm winds. With hurricanes, however, the damage is much more severe because the duration of a hurricane may last days whereas a severe thunderstorm only minutes. As shown, the greatest chance of severe winds by Hurricane Matthew will be along the Florida coastline on Thursday October 6.
In addition to damaging winds, hurricanes bring with them flooding rains and ocean swells. The 72-hour Rainfall Forecast estimates 1-4 inches along the Florida coastline and above 4-inches in Georgia. Potential for more flooding is possible further north as Hurricane Matthew makes moves inland (see below).
The flood outlook for the next 5 days from Hurricane Matthew shows a wide swath of affected areas from Ft. Lauderdale, Florida to New York, NY.
As with all analyses, conditions are subject to change. Updates are provided continuously through Weather Defender or follow your local media sources for regular updates.